ETH Analysis
3 years ago

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Hits 4-Month Lows Against BTC But Where’s The Bottom?

Yaz Sheikh Nov 18, 2020 17:49
Ethereum is up by a total of 5% this last week as it trades at the $474 level. The coin is trading within a 3-month-old rising price channel and was rejected recently at the upper boundary. Against Bitcoin, Ethereum has dropped into 6-month lows.

ETH/USD – Ethereum Rejected By Rising Price Channel Upper Boundary

Key Support Levels: $465, $447, $439.
Key Resistance Levels: $490, $500, $511

On Monday, Ethereum found support at the $447 level, which allowed the coin to rebound higher. From there, it pushed higher to break $475 (September high-day close) and reach the resistance at the upper boundary of the 3-month-old rising price channel.

Today, Ethereum spiked above this price channel to reach as high as $395. However, the bears have since regrouped and have pushed ETH lower to trade at $473.

ETH/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

ETH-USD Short Term Price Prediction

Looking ahead, if the sellers continue to drive ETH lower, the first level of support lies at $465 (.236 Fib). Beneath this, support lies at $447 (.382 Fib), $439 (August 2018 High), and $430.

On the other side, if the buyers can regroup and push back above the upper boundary of this price channel, the first level of resistance lies at $490. Above this, resistance is expected at $500, $511, and $528.

Once again, there is a bearish divergence appearing between the RSI and price action. The RSI is making lower lows while the price is making higher highs. This could indicate that a sharp drop is incoming.

ETH/BTC – Bears Hit 4-Month Lows Against Bitcoin

Key Support Levels: 0.0262 BTC, 0.0253 BTC, 0.025 BTC.
Key Resistance Levels: 0.0267 BTC, 0.027 BTC, 0.0278 BTC.

Against Bitcoin, Ethereum continues to struggle as it spiked beneath the support at 0.0267 BTC today to reach as low as 0.0262 BTC – putting ETH at a fresh 4-month low against BTC. The coin has been dropping in November since it failed to break the 200-days EMA earlier in the month.

If BTC continues to rally back to its ATH prices, it can be expected that ETH will continue to fall against BTC. ETH is only likely to rebound against BTC once it settles down or when the ETH 2.0 mania begins.

ETH/BTC Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

ETH-BTC Short Term Price Prediction

Looking ahead, if the sellers head lower, the first level of support lies at 0.0262 BTC. Beneath this, support lies at 0.0253 BTC, 0.025 BTC, and 0.0245 BTC.

On the other side, resistance lies at 0.0267 BTC, 0.027 BTC, 0.0278 BTC, and 0.0285 BTC (Feb 2020 Highs).

Both the RSI and Stochastic RSI are showing that the bears are in charge of the market momentum.

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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
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Yaz Sheikh

Yaz is a cryptocurrency technical analyst with over seven years of technical analysis trading experience. As an Economics graduate, he has taken a keen interest in the future potentials of blockchain in the financial industry. Removing crypto from the equation, Yaz loves to watch his favorite football team and keep up-to-date with the latest fights within the UFC.