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Does Kraken’s Huge Influx of BTC Spell Trouble for Bitcoin Price?

Chayanika Deka Oct 4, 2023 13:07
Approximately $410.9 million worth of Bitcoin entered Kraken's wallets, marking the largest inflow in nearly five years.

The historic influx of 14,924 Bitcoins into Kraken, one of the leading cryptocurrency exchanges globally, has raised questions and piqued the interest of investors, analysts, and enthusiasts alike.

It marks a pivotal moment in the market since the influx represented the largest recorded on Kraken since 2018. The sheer volume of BTC deposited into the platform may suggest several potential scenarios, according to the latest analysis by CryptoQuant.

Another Correction for Bitcoin?

One possibility is that long-term investors are capitalizing on the recent price increases, where Bitcoin blasted past $28.5k, cashing in their profits or seeking a secure haven for their assets amidst market uncertainty. Alternatively, these funds could be part of a strategic move in anticipation of future market developments.

BTC Sent to Kraken. Source: CryptoQuant

CryptoQuant’s data also suggested that a steep drop in Kraken’s reserves on June 20th was swiftly followed by a rapid surge in the price of Bitcoin. Such a trend could be indicative of investors’ actions to either lock in their gains by converting crypto holdings into fiat currency or diversifying their portfolios by transferring assets into other cryptocurrencies.

An increase in exchange inflows is often seen as a harbinger of price turbulence. It signals that investors are sending a large number of coins in a transaction, a hint of potential selling pressure. However, the latest surge in BTC deposits into Kraken does not necessarily indicate a bearish trend or that a decrease is a bullish sign, as per the analytic platform.

“It is important to note that movements like these on Kraken can be interpreted in various ways, and there is no guarantee that an increase in reserves automatically signals a bearish trend or that a decrease is a bullish sign.”

Signs of Bull Run Ahead

Bitcoin’s ‘Uptober‘ rally has sparked speculations about a full-blown bull run despite lingering fears of another drawdown. Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes is confident about the leading asset’s trajectory and believes the surging yields could serve as a potential harbinger of a potential bull market.

In his latest tweets, Hayes suggested that the current rise in treasury yields, particularly the “bear steepener” phenomenon, could trigger a cascade of events leading to liquidity injections and a return to a bullish crypto market, but not without potential casualties in the financial system along the way.

“The faster this bear steepener rises, the faster someone goes belly up, the faster everyone recognizes there is no way out other than money printing to save govt bond markets, the faster we get back to the crypto bull market. The Lord is my Shepherd, I shall not want.”

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Chayanika Deka

Chayanika has been working as financial journalist for five years. A graduate in Political Science and Journalism, her interest lies in regulatory implications with a focus on technological evolution in the crypto realm. Contact:Linkedin