Price Analysis
3 years ago

Cardano Price Analysis: ADA Bears Take Control, Will $1 Hold?

Yaz Sheikh Jun 22, 2021 14:55
ADA is down a precipitous 12% today as the cryptocurrency crashes as low as $1.07. Against bitcoin, ADA fell beneath the 50-day MA and fell as low as 3440 SAT.

ADA/USD – ADA Plummets Beneath The 100-day MA

Key Support Levels: $1.07, $1.00, $0.913.
Key Resistance Levels: $1.20, $1.30, $1.42.

ADA fell beneath the 100-day MA at $1.42 over the weekend and has since plummetted as low as $1 today.

The cryptocurrency was trading inside a symmetrical triangle pattern and broke toward the downside of the consolidation on Saturday. Yesterday, ADA slipped from the 100-day MA and fell beneath $1.20.

It continued today as ADA broke support at $1.12 (long-term .618 Fib) and dropped into $1 (short-term .886 Fib).

ADA/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView.

ADA-USD Short Term Price Prediction

Looking ahead, if the bears break $1.07, the first major support lies at $1.00 (200-day MA). This is followed by support at $0.913 (May lows), $0.847 (downside 1.272 Fib Extension), $0.8, and $0.75 (.786 Fib).

On the other side, the first resistance lies at $1.20. This is followed by $1.30 (bearish .236 Fib & falling trend line), $1.42 (100-day MA), and $1.50 (bearish .382 Fib).

The daily RSI reached extremely oversold conditions today, indicating that the sellers must be reaching exhaustion soon. The RSI is now the most oversold since September 2020.

ADA/BTC – ADA Loses 50-day MA and Drops To .5 Fib Support

Key Support Levels: 3440 SAT, 3200 SAT, 3070 SAT.
Key Resistance Levels: 3600 SAT, 3800 SAT, 4000 SAT.

ADA also lost crucial support at 3820 SAT (.382 Fib) this week. It had established this support in June and managed to close each daily candle above it through the month. ADA bounced higher from it over the weekend and climbed above the 50-day MA.

Unfortunately, it was unable to close above the 50-day MA at 4000 SAT and dropped lower from there yesterday as it fell beneath 3820 SAT (.382 Fib). Today, it continued until added support was found at 3440 SAT (.5 Fib).

ADA/BTC Daily Chart. Source: TradingView.

ADA-BTC Short Term Price Prediction

Moving forward, the first support lies at 3440 SAT (.5 Fib). This is followed by 3200 SAT, 3070 SAT (.618 Fib & 100-day MA), and 3000 SAT.

On the other side, the first resistance lies at 3600 SAT. This is followed by 3800 SAT, 4000 SAT (50-day MA), and 4190 SAT (20-day MA).

The RSI is in bearish territory and is still not oversold. This indicates that there might be some more selling pressure on the way.

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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
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Yaz Sheikh

Yaz is a cryptocurrency technical analyst with over seven years of technical analysis trading experience. As an Economics graduate, he has taken a keen interest in the future potentials of blockchain in the financial industry. Removing crypto from the equation, Yaz loves to watch his favorite football team and keep up-to-date with the latest fights within the UFC.