After quite a volatile rally to $13,000, bitcoin price action has tempered down a bit. But, the case for future gains remains strong, according to a technical setup that popular Youtube and Twitter-based BTC analyst Carl Martin shared today. This will surely get the hopium levels of bulls soaring. According to him, the top cryptocurrency will soon hit the previous all-time high of $20,000. But there’s a catch.
Bitcoin’s Road To $20,000 In 2020 Has An Inverse Head And Shoulders
According to an inverse head and shoulders (IH&S) setup shared by Carl, who, by the way, goes by the name of ‘TheMoon,’ bitcoin price has already cleared the first two stages of the IH&S pattern. Based on this, Carl remarked that the price target of $20,000 is closer than it appears.
🚨 ALERT 🚨
Target: $19,700 (We want to see at least 1 weekly close above the neckline first) pic.twitter.com/Xy2mSF3ttZ
— The Moon 🌙 (@TheMoonCarl) October 23, 2020
Generally speaking, market participants consider IH&S as one of the bullish indicators apart from the golden cross and some wedge formations. Explosive price runs follow the successful completion of an IH&S pattern. Sometimes the upside targets look similar to the height of the middle trough.
How Does This Setup Play Out?
According to the analyst, the bitcoin price chart printed the first IH&S trough towards the beginning of this year, when BTC rallied in response to ongoing geopolitical conditions. The next formation was after the Black Thursday crash in March. This is when the bitcoin price fell all the way down to $3,858. And then, after a brief bout of sideways trading, began rallying towards April end-May beginning.
BTC formed the third IH&S trough after picking up post the September crash (after a flat trade phase, of course). This is the current rally in which bitcoin surpassed this year’s high and tapped $13,200. Carl said that the next stop is $19,700, but for that, BTC has to post a weekly close above the delineated ‘neckline.’ But will it happen?
JP Morgan Makes The Case For A Hyper-Bullish BTC
Macro investor Dan Tapiero just shared a snapshot of the ‘Flows and Liquidity Report’ published by JP Morgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. The report, as per him, draws an extremely bullish outlook for bitcoin. And how? Here’s an excerpt:
…the total market capitalization for bitcoin is $240bn. At first glance, this makes it comparable to the total size ofgold ETFs at $210bn. But gold ETFs is not the main way wealth is stored in gold. Wealth is mostly stored via gold bars and coins the stock of which, excluding those held by central banks, amounts to 42600 tonnes or $2.6tr including gold ETFs. Mechanically, the market cap of bitcoin would have to rise 10 times from here to match the total private sector investment to gold via ETFs or bars or coins. even a modest crowding out of gold as an “alternative” currency over the longer term would imply doubling or tripling of the bitcoin price from here. In other words, the potential upside for bitcoin is considerable as it competes more intensely with gold as an “alternative” currency we believe, given that Millenials would become over time a more important component of investors’ unviverse.
Will we see bitcoin posting a weekly close above that neckline, which Carl mentioned? Let’s see.