BTC Analysis
3 years ago

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Trapped Inside a Rising Wedge, Breakout Soon?

Yaz Sheikh May 10, 2021 11:56

After reaching today’s high of $59,600 according to bitstamp, Bitcoin reversed back into the rising wedge it is currently trading inside as can be seen on the following 4-hour chart.

BTC performed well over the weekend as it broke above a descending trend line on Saturday, and climbed above the Feb 2021 highs of $58,355, however, yesterday’s daily close was below the significant resistance area.

As mentioned above, today’s current high is the upper boundary of an ascending wedge pattern – best seen on the short-term 4 hours chart below.

The current short-term wedge will need to be resolved in the next few days, however, a breakout toward the upside hands BTC a target price of the pole’s size, which will be around the current all-time high level of $65,720.

On the other hand, a breakout toward the downside would see BTC heading to $51,800 (.618 Fib and 20-days MA), before a possible retest of April’s lows around $46K – $47K.

BTC Price Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

Key Support Levels: $57,000, $56,765, $55,000 – $54,755, $54,000.

Key Resistance Levels: $58,355, $59,600 – $60,000, $51,780, $62,300, $62,960.

Looking ahead, if the bulls can climb back above the February highs at $58,355, the first resistance lies at the upper boundary of the wedge around today’s highs of $59,600. This is closely followed by the $60,000 milestone.

Beyond $60,000, added resistance lies at $61,781 (March previous all-time high), $62,300 (short term 1.414 Fib Extension), $62,960 (bearish .886 Fib), and $63,770 (1.414 Fib Extension).

On the other side, the first support lies at the lower boundary of the wedge at around $57,000. This is closely followed by the significant 50-day moving average line at around $56,765. Further down lies $55,000, $54,755 (.382 Fib), and $54,000.

The 4-Hour RSI is beneath the midline, and the daily RSI is producing hints of bearish divergence, which could be signaling a potential bearish price action in the next short-term.

Bitstamp BTC/USD Daily Chart

BTC/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

Bitstamp BTC/USD 4-Hour Chart

BTC/USD 4-Hour Chart. Source: TradingView
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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
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Yaz Sheikh

Yaz is a cryptocurrency technical analyst with over seven years of technical analysis trading experience. As an Economics graduate, he has taken a keen interest in the future potentials of blockchain in the financial industry. Removing crypto from the equation, Yaz loves to watch his favorite football team and keep up-to-date with the latest fights within the UFC.